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Interpreting the Indeterminate (Ray Dalio)

Below is a video from the Bloomberg Markets 50 conference this past week in NY of Bridgewater Assoc. LP founder, Ray Dalio. Mr. Dalio was featured recently in the New Yorker,, and his hermeneutics of global markets is interesting. I need to re-visit this at least. 

The Start of Filming of “The Hobbit” — Happy Friday!

Perfect timing and perfect antidote to a long miserable PNW Spring, videoblog of the start of the production of the Hobbit by Peter Jackson.  Replete with Sir Ian sporting a playful cap.  I hadn’t noticed but the cast also includes Bret McKenzie of the Flight of the Conchords,  Brian Blessed as King Dain Ironfoot (typecasting a Dwarf King), and David Tennant as King Thranduil (typecasting again as an Elven King).  It was a great Friday morning.

How an Economy (and a Culture) Fails

Samsung

Loss of confidence coincides with a general loss of hope.  It means there is no trust in a better tomorrow, or at least the chance for progress.  As it escalates, one can feel like there’s an increasing certainty that one’s children and grandchildren will not be better off or even more secure.  These are old and authentic feelings that all people have encountered, particularly when it comes to their governments/rulers.

When you look at history cursorily — what happened to Rome, Central America pre-Columbus, the Dark Ages in Ancient Greece — whatever epoch changing moment you can identify when there was wholesale dislocation and people abandoned their cities and economies, there was a loss of faith involved.  The economies stopped working because people no longer believed there was anything worth trading, and consequently, there was no stability.  People stopped trusting institutions and didn’t care and/or didn’t have the resources to support anything but themselves until their infrastructure — military, sanitary, agriculture, trade — was completely unsustainable and could no longer support itself.  The so-called barbarian invasions in Rome were actually more incremental, and were really the last straw that broke everything.  The decline had been going on for much longer.

That malaise is definitely now in America.  Mixed with anxiety and anger, there’s an increasing worry that things not only are not getting better, but in fact the signs of economic progress that do exist are fraudulent.

Economic Ideologies

economics

Nice summary article on the maybe obvious point of interpretation, economics starts with ideology. I liked this post because it’s by an economist, stating what economics is really about and what the actual starting place of its practice must be: the stating of one’s bias and beliefs.

Games as Models, Society as Gameplay?

scandinavian_chess_piece

The day began innocently enough. I was making breakfast for my son when on the radio an interview with the peripatetic Jane McGonigal played: “How To Save The World, One Video Game At A Time”: McGonigal has a book that I’ve not yet read, but from second hand knowledge she is from the serious games side of games. ARG‘s and the like. She claims that the pedagogic and timesink aspects of games can be exploited for real-world success. This seems to be mostly about consoles and MMO’s, but I expect McGonigal is including PDA and handhelds etc.

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